‹ All races

LAUNCESTON

R1 5:04 PM R2 5:39 PM R3 6:14 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:38 PM R7 8:06 PM R8 8:49 PM

Race 1

5:04 PM
2200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st BAIL DENIED 📍 Place Pick
2nd STANTON BREAK
3rd ALL ABOUT SADIE
4th OUR SWEET TRIXIE
✅ Place bet — won outright — BAIL DENIED finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
7
BAIL DENIED P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. STANTON BREAK TOP RATED 4 $4.60 $1.75 $6.11
1. ALL ABOUT SADIE 1 $4.80 $1.75 $6.24
7. BAIL DENIED FAV 7 $4.40 $1.75 $6.29
2. WINSUM BELLA 2 $5.50 $1.90 $6.94
6. OUR SWEET TRIXIE 6 $10.00 $3.00 $11.80
5. CHEYS ANGEL 5 $11.00 $3.20 $14.12
8. MIKI SANZ 8 $13.00 $3.00 $14.47
11. JEREMY WELLS 11 $23.00 $4.80 $22.48
3. ALBY PRIDDY 3 $34.00 $5.50 $28.32
9. LALIBELA 9 $41.00 $5.25 $34.69
12. KENYA 12 $51.00 $7.00 $44.51
10. CHRIS BE QUICK 10 $81.00 $9.00 $59.01
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.40) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 98% 42*
1.50–1.99 44% 71% 45*
2.00–2.49 25% 57% 44*
2.50–3.49 31% 68% 65
3.50–4.99 this race 25% 45% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.