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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:10 PM R2 4:47 PM R3 5:22 PM R4 5:52 PM R5 6:22 PM R6 6:49 PM R7 7:19 PM R8 7:49 PM R9 8:19 PM R10 8:45 PM

Race 4

5:52 PM
2200m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st AFFAMATO
2nd BANJO STAR
3rd ZIHUATANEJO โญ Best Bet
4th WEE GEORGIE WOOD
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” ZIHUATANEJO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ZIHUATANEJO P $1.07
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ZIHUATANEJO FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.07 $2.22
7. BANJO STAR 7 $4.80 $1.32 $5.45
11. AFFAMATO 11 $4.60 $1.32 $5.87
9. WEE GEORGIE WOOD 9 $26.00 $2.80 $21.94
5. JILLSTIGER 5 $31.00 $3.90 $24.06
2. KLITSCHKO LEIS 2 $41.00 $4.00 $29.12
3. WINNING BREW 3 $61.00 $5.50 $40.76
10. HIGH BELIEVER 10 $71.00 $5.00 $50.32
6. SOHO TUXEDO 6 $81.00 $5.75 $53.56
4. I AM CAESAR 4 $101.00 $6.50 $84.40
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 98% 42*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 44% 71% 45*
2.00โ€“2.49 25% 57% 44*
2.50โ€“3.49 31% 68% 65
3.50โ€“4.99 25% 45% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.