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MARBURG

R1 11:48 AM R2 12:24 PM R3 1:01 PM R4 1:29 PM R5 2:12 PM R6 2:52 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 7

3:30 PM
2200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st QUIK CHANGE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MY ULTIMATE COSSIE
3rd STORMTIDE
4th SATURDAY DANCE
✅ Place bet — won outright — QUIK CHANGE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
QUIK CHANGE P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. QUIK CHANGE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.08 $2.25
6. MY ULTIMATE COSSIE 6 $6.50 $1.40 $7.71
2. TIGER SHIRL 2 $8.50 $1.80 $9.37
4. ROCK NIEN 4 $10.00 $2.10 $10.23
3. JIVE MASTER 3 $16.00 $2.70 $15.42
8. STORMTIDE 8 $21.00 $3.30 $18.69
7. BETTOR CHEER 7 $26.00 $3.40 $21.31
5. GETAGRIP 5 $31.00 $4.00 $26.21
9. SATURDAY DANCE 9 $81.00 $5.75 $54.53
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 86% 36*
2.00–2.49 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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