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MARBURG

R1 11:48 AM R2 12:24 PM R3 1:01 PM R4 1:29 PM R5 2:12 PM R6 2:52 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 5

2:12 PM
2200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st TAPTHEKEG
2nd MAJOR MISCHIEF 📍 Place Pick
3rd JILLIBY PANDA 💡 Saver
4th MULLUM BOY
✅ Place bet landed — MAJOR MISCHIEF ran a place
✅ Saver placed — JILLIBY PANDA ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
MAJOR MISCHIEF W $2.10·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
7
JILLIBY PANDA P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MAJOR MISCHIEF FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.10 $1.22 $3.17
7. JILLIBY PANDA 7 $3.90 $1.34 $5.08
8. BETA THAN LOVE 8 $6.00 $1.75 $7.23
5. EBONY BELLE 5 $8.00 $2.10 $8.82
2. TAPTHEKEG 2 $8.00 $1.90 $9.06
6. MULLUM BOY 6 $15.00 $3.10 $15.18
1. WILLROBY 1 $51.00 $4.25 $37.68
9. OUTER CHANGE 9 $71.00 $6.00 $51.26
3. BEYONSKI 3 $126.00 $8.50 $74.45
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 47% 86% 36*
2.00–2.49 this race 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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