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MARBURG

R1 11:48 AM R2 12:24 PM R3 1:01 PM R4 1:29 PM R5 2:12 PM R6 2:52 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 4

1:29 PM
2200m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st SCHOONERS
2nd JAMES ALFRED โญ Best Bet
3rd ETERNAL BLISS
4th WESTERN BILL
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” JAMES ALFRED ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
JAMES ALFRED P $1.05
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. JAMES ALFRED FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.40 $1.05 $2.11
1. SCHOONERS 1 $4.60 $1.24 $5.36
6. ETERNAL BLISS 6 $10.00 $1.75 $10.53
5. IM BOO 5 $16.00 $2.40 $14.70
2. WESTERN BILL 2 $16.00 $2.20 $15.40
8. DUAL CAM 8 $19.00 $2.80 $17.31
7. TREACHEROUS BELLE 7 $34.00 $3.60 $29.34
3. JEFFCOATE 3 $81.00 $5.50 $50.99
Favourite record at MARBURG โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 73% 100% 22*
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 86% 36*
2.00โ€“2.49 52% 80% 25*
2.50โ€“3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.