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MARBURG

R1 11:48 AM R2 12:24 PM R3 1:01 PM R4 1:29 PM R5 2:12 PM R6 2:52 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 2

12:24 PM
1850m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st THE LUVBUG ⭐ Best Bet
2nd KINGSBURY
3rd ALSROKSTAR
4th LANEYS LAST
✅ Place bet — won outright — THE LUVBUG finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
THE LUVBUG P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. THE LUVBUG FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.22 $1.02 $1.83
4. MIARKA 4 $4.80 $1.24 $5.79
8. ALSROKSTAR 8 $11.00 $1.60 $10.72
9. LANEYS LAST 9 $26.00 $2.90 $21.19
2. KINGSBURY 2 $26.00 $2.65 $21.52
3. SIYA 3 $31.00 $3.00 $25.26
6. KEEPING IT SIMPLE 6 $41.00 $3.50 $30.31
1. STONES 1 $71.00 $3.60 $48.48
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.22) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 47% 86% 36*
2.00–2.49 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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