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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:08 PM R4 6:39 PM R5 7:13 PM R6 7:48 PM R7 8:23 PM R8 8:58 PM R9 9:33 PM R10 10:08 PM

Race 4

6:39 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st WAMBOYNEINAMERICA
2nd HUXTON ⭐ Best Bet
3rd SPUNKYS GOTSECRETS
4th MAJOR REASON
✅ Place bet landed — HUXTON ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
HUXTON P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. HUXTON FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.70 $1.10 $2.44
4. RIVERA LOU 4 $3.60 $1.26 $4.82
9. WAMBOYNEINAMERICA 9 $9.50 $2.05 $9.85
1. MAJOR ART 1 $10.00 $1.75 $10.49
6. SPUNKYS GOTSECRETS 6 $23.00 $3.30 $18.69
10. MAJOR REASON 10 $26.00 $3.25 $22.16
7. APPLIED 7 $41.00 $4.20 $31.34
11. LACEYS LAD 11 $51.00 $5.00 $33.75
3. TOMAHAWK BART 3 $51.00 $4.80 $40.32
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 90% 40*
1.50–1.99 this race 46% 79% 87
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 82
2.50–3.49 28% 61% 130
3.50–4.99 15% 50% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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