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MILDURA

R1 12:55 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:07 PM R4 2:46 PM R5 3:21 PM R6 4:03 PM R7 4:41 PM R8 5:10 PM

Race 3

2:07 PM
2190m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mildura Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st WHITEHAVEN BEACH
2nd PUNTO CALIENTE
3rd WATCH IT HAPPEN ⭐ Best Bet
4th DAYLIGHT
✅ Place bet landed — WATCH IT HAPPEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
WATCH IT HAPPEN P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. WATCH IT HAPPEN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.14 $1.02 $1.71
8. DAYLIGHT 8 $9.00 $1.38 $9.12
5. HESASTAR 5 $13.00 $1.95 $11.61
4. CORNELIA 4 $18.00 $2.30 $15.54
7. WHITEHAVEN BEACH 7 $16.00 $2.15 $17.04
6. PUNTO CALIENTE 6 $23.00 $2.60 $18.18
1. HARRY MCKINNIS 1 $51.00 $3.25 $40.63
2. LIVELY JOE 2 $81.00 $4.60 $54.41
Favourite record at MILDURA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.14) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 96% 24*
1.50–1.99 57% 79% 47*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 48*
2.50–3.49 26% 63% 68

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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