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PENRITH

R1 6:15 PM R2 6:50 PM R3 7:15 PM R4 7:45 PM R5 8:15 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 9:15 PM R8 9:48 PM R9 10:16 PM

Race 5

8:15 PM
2125m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st ALTA SIERRA 📍 Place Pick
2nd 6,8
3rd THE METAL FLYER
✅ Place bet — won outright — ALTA SIERRA finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
9
ALTA SIERRA P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. ALTA SIERRA FAV TOP RATED 9 $3.00 $1.34 $4.03
4. PROMISING 4 $4.00 $1.50 $5.49
6. LAYDEN 6 $5.50 $1.90 $7.36
1. KING TIGER 1 $7.00 $2.00 $9.31
3. HES A MEISTER 3 $8.50 $2.35 $10.16
5. DRAW A DREAM 5 $11.00 $2.90 $11.79
8. ROCKTAGONAL 8 $12.00 $3.10 $12.41
2. PLAYA BLANCA 2 $51.00 $5.25 $40.42
10. MR TEDDY 10 $71.00 $7.50 $50.30
11. THE METAL FLYER 11 $81.00 $8.50 $54.67
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 95% 38*
1.50–1.99 49% 83% 53*
2.00–2.49 41% 64% 64
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 61% 82
3.50–4.99 7% 41% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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