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PENRITH

R1 6:15 PM R2 6:50 PM R3 7:15 PM R4 7:45 PM R5 8:15 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 9:15 PM R8 9:48 PM R9 10:16 PM

Race 3

7:15 PM
2125m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st ADMIRABLE
2nd GENERAL LINCOLN
3rd LEWIE KELLY โญ Best Bet
4th SLYX
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” LEWIE KELLY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
LEWIE KELLY P $1.10
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. LEWIE KELLY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.10 $2.37
2. SLYX 2 $5.50 $1.38 $6.90
3. FINAL PROMISE 3 $9.00 $2.15 $9.02
5. GENERAL LINCOLN 5 $11.00 $2.30 $11.26
9. ADMIRABLE 9 $17.00 $3.20 $16.76
4. BLISSES BEST 4 $26.00 $3.90 $21.57
6. EYEKNOW 6 $26.00 $3.90 $22.58
7. NITRO DANNY 7 $31.00 $3.40 $27.63
8. OURTREACHEROUS REIGN 8 $41.00 $4.60 $33.26
10. PELIGROSO 10 $71.00 $6.00 $57.91
Favourite record at PENRITH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 95% 38*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 49% 83% 53*
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 64% 64
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 61% 82
3.50โ€“4.99 7% 41% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.