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MELTON

R1 5:07 PM R2 5:39 PM R3 6:04 PM R4 6:37 PM R5 7:05 PM R6 7:36 PM R7 8:07 PM R8 8:38 PM R9 9:09 PM

Race 6

7:36 PM
1720m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st SWEET IDEAL
2nd PERUN
3rd DIAMOND ECLIPSE
4th CALEXICO
โŒ Unplaced โ€” SOME AMERICAN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
SOME AMERICAN P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. SOME AMERICAN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.38 $1.02 $2.02
9. ITS CONFIDENTIAL 9 $6.00 $1.30 $6.59
3. SWEET IDEAL 3 $9.00 $1.80 $9.12
8. CALEXICO 8 $13.00 $2.30 $12.13
2. DIAMOND ECLIPSE 2 $20.00 $2.50 $18.42
1. PERUN 1 $31.00 $2.80 $22.75
6. OUR LUCIANO 6 $31.00 $3.70 $25.79
7. JUSTALITTLESIP 7 $61.00 $5.50 $39.84
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 76% 88% 74
1.50โ€“1.99 45% 81% 98
2.00โ€“2.49 33% 66% 82
2.50โ€“3.49 25% 66% 93
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 52% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.