| Runner | Barrier | Win | Place | Our rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5. MOUNT JULIET FAV TOP RATED | 5 | $1.70 | $1.18 | – |
| 4. FRAZZLED | 4 | $4.60 | $1.65 | – |
| 1. POZZI TONOZZI | 1 | $6.50 | $2.05 | – |
| 2. HARPERS FERRY | 2 | $8.00 | $2.30 | – |
| 3. BOSTON BLIZZARD | 3 | $12.00 | $3.10 | – |
How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.
| Fav price | Win | Place | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| <1.50 | 83% | 95% | 103 |
| 1.50–1.99 this race | 52% | 85% | 123 |
| 2.00–2.49 | 40% | 73% | 100 |
| 2.50–3.49 | 27% | 62% | 85 |
| 3.50–4.99 | 24% | 48% | 29* |
Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.