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MELTON

R1 5:27 PM R2 6:02 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:17 PM R7 8:46 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 4

7:09 PM
2240m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st MAC FLICK
2nd RAPID RETURN
3rd HEZA GUN
4th CLAUDYS HERO
โŒ Unplaced โ€” HOWDY MATE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
12
HOWDY MATE P $1.12
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. HOWDY MATE FAV TOP RATED 12 $1.55 $1.12 $2.39
11. CLAUDYS HERO 11 $5.00 $1.45 $6.30
10. RUBYS DREAM 10 $15.00 $3.10 $15.24
5. HEZA GUN 5 $16.00 $3.25 $16.34
3. MERCENARY 3 $16.00 $3.25 $16.64
4. CHARLESTON AVENUE 4 $17.00 $3.40 $16.86
8. MITCHELL WRAP 8 $21.00 $3.75 $19.51
9. AVANT GUARD 9 $26.00 $3.80 $25.36
2. RAPID RETURN 2 $31.00 $4.00 $27.58
1. MAC FLICK 1 $34.00 $3.75 $29.47
7. MAJESTIC TOOTH 7 $101.00 $8.50 $65.34
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 87% 52*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 44% 80% 61
2.00โ€“2.49 36% 66% 58*
2.50โ€“3.49 24% 69% 70
3.50โ€“4.99 22% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.