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PENRITH

R1 12:01 PM R2 12:36 PM R3 1:11 PM R4 1:46 PM R5 2:21 PM R6 2:56 PM R7 3:31 PM R8 4:06 PM

Race 4

1:46 PM
1720m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st ELEGANT STRIDE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd COULDNT CATCH HIM
3rd SHES A TRUE BLING
4th TOMMYS LUCK
✅ Place bet — won outright — ELEGANT STRIDE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
ELEGANT STRIDE P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. ELEGANT STRIDE FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.50 $1.08 $2.16
2. THE POSTMASTER 2 $5.50 $1.28 $6.73
1. COULDNT CATCH HIM 1 $6.50 $1.34 $7.66
5. TOMMYS LUCK 5 $16.00 $2.60 $14.53
3. JANELLE MAY 3 $19.00 $2.90 $17.00
8. ADIRADIVA 8 $26.00 $3.25 $20.89
4. NEED FOUR SPEED 4 $31.00 $3.80 $23.97
7. SHES A TRUE BLING 7 $31.00 $3.30 $24.46
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 96% 27*
1.50–1.99 this race 44% 83% 41*
2.00–2.49 45% 69% 51*
2.50–3.49 31% 59% 61
3.50–4.99 5% 38% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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