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NEWCASTLE

R1 4:52 PM R2 5:23 PM R3 5:52 PM R4 6:21 PM R5 6:51 PM R6 7:21 PM R7 7:51 PM R8 8:21 PM R9 8:54 PM

Race 9

8:54 PM
1609m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PASSION AND PAIN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FEROCIOUS LOVER
3rd HARMS LULLABY
4th BETTOR ELEMENTS
✅ Place bet — won outright — PASSION AND PAIN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
PASSION AND PAIN P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. PASSION AND PAIN FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.50 $1.14 $2.15
4. HUNGRY BEAR 4 $5.00 $1.85 $5.64
6. BETTOR ELEMENTS 6 $8.50 $2.50 $8.71
3. OUR SWEETHEART 3 $13.00 $3.30 $11.84
2. FEROCIOUS LOVER 2 $13.00 $3.10 $12.16
1. HARMS LULLABY 1 $15.00 $3.00 $13.00
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 91% 32*
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 78% 69
2.00–2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50–3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50–4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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