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NEWCASTLE

R1 4:52 PM R2 5:23 PM R3 5:52 PM R4 6:21 PM R5 6:51 PM R6 7:21 PM R7 7:51 PM R8 8:21 PM R9 8:54 PM

Race 1

4:52 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st WAR WESTERN โญ Best Bet
2nd CHARJO
3rd HYDEEHO
4th CHEDDAR VALLEY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” WAR WESTERN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
WAR WESTERN P $1.08
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. WAR WESTERN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.45 $1.08 $2.18
2. NIFTY STUDLEIGH 2 $7.50 $1.65 $8.81
5. ROCKNROLL ROCKET 5 $8.50 $2.00 $8.90
1. CHARJO 1 $8.50 $1.70 $9.27
8. CHEDDAR VALLEY 8 $15.00 $2.60 $15.07
9. HYDEEHO 9 $23.00 $3.40 $22.98
10. BODYLINE 10 $41.00 $4.40 $32.30
6. OPEN THE GATES 6 $41.00 $4.60 $33.39
7. ONETANGI GIRL 7 $61.00 $5.50 $41.99
4. POINT LOOKOUT 4 $126.00 $7.50 $72.88
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 91% 32*
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 78% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.