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BATHURST

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:43 PM R3 6:12 PM R4 6:42 PM R5 7:14 PM R6 7:46 PM R7 8:13 PM R8 8:40 PM R9 9:10 PM

Race 4

6:42 PM
1730m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Bathurst Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOCHINVAR JAG โญ Best Bet
2nd STUDLEIGH MELISE
3rd FIRESTORM RED
4th TENMINUTES
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LOCHINVAR JAG finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
LOCHINVAR JAG P $1.06
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LOCHINVAR JAG FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.36 $1.06 $2.05
8. NOSAER 8 $8.50 $1.95 $9.69
6. HUNTER SHANNON 6 $10.00 $2.05 $11.07
5. TENMINUTES 5 $15.00 $2.50 $15.02
4. MCLEAN 4 $17.00 $2.80 $15.24
1. STUDLEIGH MELISE 1 $20.00 $2.50 $20.01
7. TAPAGANOOSH 7 $23.00 $3.30 $21.04
3. PAS DE CHEVAL 3 $23.00 $3.30 $22.45
9. FIRESTORM RED 9 $26.00 $3.60 $23.06
Favourite record at BATHURST โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 70% 85% 47*
1.50โ€“1.99 57% 75% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 28% 70% 60
2.50โ€“3.49 37% 75% 68
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 55% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.