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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:27 PM R2 5:57 PM R3 6:27 PM R4 6:57 PM R5 7:32 PM R6 7:59 PM

Race 5

7:32 PM
2080m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Cranbourne Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st DESERT ASSASSIN
2nd HILLWINSOME
3rd PARIS KAY
4th LILLYS TIGER ⭐ Best Bet
Unplaced — LILLYS TIGER didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
LILLYS TIGER P $1.18
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
3
HILLWINSOME W $11.00
Form view · saver 28.2% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 42.9% (7 starts) · Recent form: 0551
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. LILLYS TIGER FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.60 $1.18 $2.25
5. DOSSIER 5 $5.50 $2.00 $6.72
1. PARIS KAY 1 $7.50 $2.00 $7.54
7. DESERT ASSASSIN 7 $8.50 $2.60 $8.91
3. HILLWINSOME 3 $11.00 $2.80 $9.51
4. BLANCO CANYON 4 $23.00 $4.60 $17.65
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 7% 63% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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