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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:31 PM R3 5:59 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:20 PM R6 7:50 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:42 PM R9 9:10 PM R10 9:38 PM

Race 3

5:59 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOVE A BELLE โญ Best Bet
2nd JETASI
3rd QUICKSHIFT GIRL
4th WAT EVER YOU NEED
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LOVE A BELLE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
LOVE A BELLE P $1.06
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
8
QUICKSHIFT GIRL W $9.50
Form view ยท saver 29.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 60% (5 starts) ยท Recent form: 7131
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LOVE A BELLE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.40 $1.06 $2.08
4. WAT EVER YOU NEED 4 $7.50 $1.70 $8.84
8. QUICKSHIFT GIRL 8 $9.50 $2.05 $9.09
5. JETASI 5 $9.50 $2.00 $10.56
6. OPEN THE GATES 6 $16.00 $2.60 $15.41
9. LIMOUSINE CHEEKY 9 $17.00 $2.80 $15.55
7. ONETANGI GIRL 7 $41.00 $4.40 $29.94
1. THRIPENNY 1 $101.00 $4.50 $64.83
10. SMOLENSKI 10 $151.00 $7.25 $85.22
2. COOINDALAI 2 $151.00 $7.00 $87.12
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 91% 32*
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 78% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.