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PENRITH

R1 5:25 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:21 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 5

7:21 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st THE METAL FLYER
2nd FIRE FOX 💡 Saver
3rd VAN BASTEN 📍 Place Pick
4th PLAYA BLANCA
✅ Place bet landed — VAN BASTEN ran a place
✅ Saver placed — FIRE FOX ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
VAN BASTEN W $2.25·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
FIRE FOX P $1.70
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. VAN BASTEN FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.25 $1.26 $3.51
3. FIRE FOX 3 $5.00 $1.70 $6.52
7. BOLD MEDLEY JUJON 7 $6.50 $2.05 $7.94
9. THE GREEK GENERAL 9 $8.50 $2.30 $9.85
1. CAULONIA COURAGE 1 $8.50 $2.00 $10.54
5. BLACK ONYX 5 $13.00 $3.10 $13.36
2. THE METAL FLYER 2 $13.00 $2.80 $14.32
8. PLAYA BLANCA 8 $20.00 $3.70 $18.77
10. HEAVENLY WAGE 10 $41.00 $5.50 $34.66
6. CHARLIES ACE 6 $151.00 $12.00 $82.43
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 96% 27*
1.50–1.99 44% 83% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 69% 51*
2.50–3.49 31% 59% 61
3.50–4.99 5% 38% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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