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PINJARRA

R1 2:52 PM R2 3:25 PM R3 4:05 PM R4 4:45 PM R5 5:14 PM R6 5:45 PM R7 6:11 PM R8 6:49 PM R9 7:27 PM

Race 4

4:45 PM
2185m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Pinjarra Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st CAPTAIN STIRLING ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SOUTH SIDE STORY
3rd REDDY TO FLY
4th LUZIA
✅ Place bet — won outright — CAPTAIN STIRLING finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
CAPTAIN STIRLING P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. CAPTAIN STIRLING FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.16 $1.02 $1.72
8. SOUTH SIDE STORY 8 $4.80 $1.26 $5.71
2. LUZIA 2 $21.00 $2.35 $16.80
10. REDDY TO FLY 10 $34.00 $3.40 $28.01
3. NOWUSEEMEGRIN 3 $41.00 $3.80 $28.46
5. BY GEE BY JINGO 5 $41.00 $3.80 $33.37
1. GLOBAL HERITAGE 1 $51.00 $3.30 $37.61
4. IDONTWANABEAPIRATE 4 $61.00 $4.40 $46.22
7. DUNAMIS 7 $61.00 $4.40 $48.61
9. AXLE ROCKS 9 $71.00 $4.50 $63.42
Favourite record at PINJARRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.16) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 67% 87% 46*
1.50–1.99 51% 78% 65
2.00–2.49 35% 66% 68
2.50–3.49 23% 56% 77
3.50–4.99 16% 52% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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