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MARBURG

R1 1:13 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:25 PM R7 5:04 PM

Race 3

2:30 PM
2200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MERGE RIGHT ⭐ Best Bet
2nd THE CASUAL GOOSE
3rd HES REGAL
4th BEAU STEELE
✅ Place bet — won outright — MERGE RIGHT finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
MERGE RIGHT P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MERGE RIGHT FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.16 $1.02 $1.73
2. HES REGAL 2 $7.00 $1.40 $8.15
1. THE CASUAL GOOSE 1 $15.00 $2.25 $14.20
8. BEAU STEELE 8 $14.00 $2.20 $15.13
10. MAJOR SLIP UP 10 $26.00 $3.30 $21.20
9. GRACENAVA 9 $41.00 $4.00 $30.22
6. YOGI 6 $61.00 $4.80 $38.77
3. GHOST TRAIN 3 $81.00 $5.50 $49.16
7. EXPLANATION NOTED 7 $81.00 $5.50 $52.34
5. DOC HARVEY 5 $81.00 $5.50 $53.07
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.16) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 47% 86% 36*
2.00–2.49 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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