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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:07 PM R2 4:34 PM R3 5:12 PM R4 5:42 PM R5 6:11 PM R6 6:42 PM R7 7:12 PM R8 7:47 PM R9 8:15 PM

Race 5

6:11 PM
2200m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOUGLE โญ Best Bet
2nd ROCKY STRIDE
3rd MCMAYHEM
4th COLBY SANZ
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LOUGLE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
LOUGLE P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LOUGLE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.16 $1.02 $1.81
2. MCMAYHEM 2 $7.00 $1.45 $8.13
1. ROCKY STRIDE 1 $9.00 $1.60 $9.91
10. DAZZLE ME 10 $34.00 $4.20 $27.34
5. NEON 5 $34.00 $4.20 $29.32
8. COLBY SANZ 8 $41.00 $4.60 $32.84
11. MAJOR LESTER 11 $41.00 $4.60 $35.66
12. ROCK ON PLAYBOY 12 $51.00 $5.00 $42.03
7. NATIONAL NEWS 7 $61.00 $5.50 $48.53
4. WINDY HANOVER 4 $71.00 $5.50 $59.81
6. KEEPERS IDEAL 6 $91.00 $6.00 $61.70
9. RACKETEERS BOY 9 $91.00 $5.25 $64.49
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.16) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 81% 100% 27*
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 72% 32*
2.00โ€“2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.