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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:07 PM R2 4:34 PM R3 5:12 PM R4 5:42 PM R5 6:11 PM R6 6:42 PM R7 7:12 PM R8 7:47 PM R9 8:15 PM

Race 4

5:42 PM
2698m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st SOUTHERN LUCK
2nd STEPPING STONES
3rd VANQUISH STRIDE
4th MAGNETIC TERROR
❌ Unplaced — PARDOE PLUGGA didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
PARDOE PLUGGA P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. PARDOE PLUGGA FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.30 $1.34 $4.56
8. DE GOEY 8 $4.20 $1.55 $5.72
10. MAGNETIC TERROR 10 $4.80 $1.70 $6.02
4. KEAYANG FITZY 4 $5.00 $1.70 $6.72
9. GLENLEDI ELVIS 9 $9.50 $2.50 $9.99
7. STEPPING STONES 7 $12.00 $3.10 $12.17
6. VANQUISH STRIDE 6 $23.00 $4.40 $20.36
2. TOLD YOU TWICE 2 $51.00 $6.00 $38.75
3. MONTGOMERY BURNS 3 $81.00 $7.50 $50.08
5. SOUTHERN LUCK 5 $126.00 $12.00 $72.85
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 81% 100% 27*
1.50–1.99 47% 72% 32*
2.00–2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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