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MELTON

R1 5:33 PM R2 6:03 PM R3 6:33 PM R4 7:03 PM R5 7:33 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:42 PM

Race 4

7:03 PM
2240m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st AMELIAS JEWEL โญ Best Bet
2nd PET WOLF
3rd LIBERTY STAR DUST
4th MANFREDI
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” AMELIAS JEWEL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
AMELIAS JEWEL P $1.14
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. AMELIAS JEWEL FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.14 $2.21
6. STEEL MIKI 6 $5.00 $1.85 $5.69
1. PET WOLF 1 $7.00 $2.00 $6.58
5. LIBERTY STAR DUST 5 $7.50 $2.35 $7.53
3. MANFREDI 3 $31.00 $5.50 $22.99
2. BEST BY A MILE 2 $51.00 $6.25 $35.83
7. PHURPHY 7 $91.00 $13.00 $61.87
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 87% 52*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 44% 80% 61
2.00โ€“2.49 36% 66% 58*
2.50โ€“3.49 24% 69% 70
3.50โ€“4.99 22% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.