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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:06 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:36 PM R8 9:06 PM

Race 3

6:36 PM
2200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st MIELICKI
2nd ALABAMA MAY
3rd NIGHT FLIGHT
4th PARIS KAY
❌ Unplaced — SCAR didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
SCAR P $1.40
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. SCAR FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.20 $1.40 $4.73
11. WIND STORM 11 $6.50 $2.25 $8.03
3. AI SEDHAI 3 $8.00 $2.45 $9.08
8. MIELICKI 8 $7.00 $2.30 $9.19
2. NIGHT FLIGHT 2 $9.00 $2.50 $9.94
4. NO TELLING HEATHER 4 $8.50 $2.60 $10.15
12. IM EDDIE 12 $9.00 $2.70 $10.90
13. PARIS KAY 13 $14.00 $3.60 $16.55
7. SINGARA TED 7 $19.00 $4.40 $18.21
1. ALABAMA MAY 1 $61.00 $5.00 $50.81
9. EMILY MEAGAN 9 $61.00 $6.75 $51.50
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 35% 61% 23*
2.00–2.49 38% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 44% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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