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TAMWORTH

R1 1:01 PM R2 1:36 PM R3 2:11 PM R4 2:46 PM R5 3:21 PM R6 4:01 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 4

2:46 PM
1609m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CORAL CAYS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TRUTHBETOLD
3rd CINNAMON
4th ROCK AROUND
✅ Place bet — won outright — CORAL CAYS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
CORAL CAYS P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. CORAL CAYS FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.60 $1.10 $2.31
4. KATASTROPHEE 4 $6.00 $1.45 $7.40
7. ANNIE CROCKER 7 $6.50 $1.60 $7.49
6. CINNAMON 6 $9.50 $2.05 $10.06
8. CAITRIONA 8 $18.00 $2.75 $15.32
2. BELLRIVERGIRL 2 $17.00 $2.65 $15.35
3. TRUTHBETOLD 3 $26.00 $3.50 $23.36
1. ROCK AROUND 1 $51.00 $3.90 $39.01
Favourite record at TAMWORTH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 71% 24*
2.00–2.49 45% 68% 38*
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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