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PENRITH

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:21 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 4

6:51 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st SHEVCHENKO
2nd FLO RYDA
3rd TIL HEAVENS ROCKN
4th AMERICAN BOXER
❌ Unplaced — GIMME A REASON didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
GIMME A REASON P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. GIMME A REASON FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.30 $1.36 $4.83
9. AMERICAN BOXER 9 $4.00 $1.55 $5.40
4. SHEVCHENKO 4 $3.90 $1.50 $5.44
1. FLO RYDA 1 $6.00 $1.85 $7.60
10. PALATINO 10 $13.00 $3.40 $13.47
3. OURTREACHEROUS REIGN 3 $18.00 $3.80 $17.61
5. TIL HEAVENS ROCKN 5 $20.00 $4.20 $19.80
7. TOOLIJOOA BEACH 7 $26.00 $4.20 $22.97
8. IDEAL REDEMPTION 8 $31.00 $4.75 $27.11
6. CHARLIES ACE 6 $41.00 $5.75 $32.76
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 96% 27*
1.50–1.99 44% 83% 41*
2.00–2.49 45% 69% 51*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 59% 61
3.50–4.99 5% 38% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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