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CANBERRA

R1 5:20 PM R2 5:54 PM R3 6:24 PM R4 7:02 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:15 PM

Race 4

7:02 PM
2170m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st THANKS BE TO GOD
2nd HELLO I TEA
3rd NOWHERENEAR CRAZY
4th WHEN TO WALKAWAY
❌ Unplaced — MERRYWOOD ROSIE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MERRYWOOD ROSIE P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MERRYWOOD ROSIE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.70 $1.16 $2.80
3. THANKS BE TO GOD 3 $4.20 $1.36 $6.17
4. MAJOR ALLEGIANCE 4 $7.00 $2.00 $8.99
9. SIX AGAIN 9 $9.00 $2.25 $11.24
10. SNEAK A PEEK 10 $12.00 $2.70 $13.94
8. HELLO I TEA 8 $17.00 $3.00 $18.81
5. ARK ALERT 5 $19.00 $3.50 $20.35
7. NOWHERENEAR CRAZY 7 $26.00 $3.90 $27.40
6. FAY IRENE 6 $26.00 $3.90 $27.87
1. WHEN TO WALKAWAY 1 $34.00 $3.40 $29.69
Favourite record at CANBERRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 29% 48% 21*
2.50–3.49 50% 71% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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