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MENANGLE

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Race 4

7:03 PM
1609m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Club Menangle Trackside ›
🏁 Result
1st ZEUS LIGHTNING ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ALERT BAY
3rd SOHO PARK AVENUE
4th FUGITIVE
✅ Place bet — won outright — ZEUS LIGHTNING finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
ZEUS LIGHTNING P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ZEUS LIGHTNING FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.55 $1.08 $2.22
7. SOHO PARK AVENUE 7 $6.00 $1.38 $6.83
2. MOVE IT LOU 2 $7.50 $1.40 $8.43
8. FUGITIVE 8 $10.00 $2.00 $9.78
1. ALERT BAY 1 $16.00 $2.05 $13.48
5. EMPEROR 5 $26.00 $3.40 $19.00
4. BEROCCA BERNIE 4 $34.00 $3.90 $24.49
3. A BUCK TEN 3 $126.00 $6.50 $73.15
Favourite record at MENANGLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 88% 66
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 80% 91
2.00–2.49 36% 76% 105
2.50–3.49 34% 63% 120
3.50–4.99 21% 58% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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