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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:40 PM R7 8:10 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 4

6:40 PM
2030m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOCHINVAR JAG โญ Best Bet
2nd CERISE RAINBOW
3rd ILLAWONG DANNY
4th RICK REILLY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LOCHINVAR JAG finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
LOCHINVAR JAG P $1.08
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LOCHINVAR JAG FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.50 $1.08 $2.21
6. CERISE RAINBOW 6 $5.00 $1.34 $5.82
5. MATT GREGORS BOY 5 $8.00 $1.85 $9.06
4. RICK REILLY 4 $20.00 $3.20 $19.27
7. OUR UNCLE JIM 7 $23.00 $3.40 $20.03
10. ALTA MAGACIAN 10 $23.00 $3.10 $21.50
3. WHATABOYJACK 3 $26.00 $3.50 $22.45
9. ILLAWONG DANNY 9 $31.00 $4.00 $26.22
1. CHARLIES ACE 1 $34.00 $3.25 $28.32
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 91% 32*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 48% 78% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.