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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:25 PM R2 4:55 PM R3 5:25 PM R4 6:05 PM R5 6:36 PM R6 7:06 PM R7 7:37 PM

Race 1

4:25 PM
1680m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOUGLE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MCMAYHEM
3rd BARNY BILL
4th BEACH DANCER
✅ Place bet — won outright — LOUGLE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
LOUGLE P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. LOUGLE FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.55 $1.08 $2.33
9. BEACH DANCER 9 $3.50 $1.26 $4.61
8. MCMAYHEM 8 $8.50 $1.85 $8.97
2. RAINBOW RANGER 2 $9.50 $1.80 $10.30
1. SUGAR COAT ME 1 $31.00 $3.20 $26.46
3. OUR SWEET TRIXIE 3 $41.00 $4.20 $30.54
10. FAR LEFT FLETCH 10 $41.00 $4.20 $33.51
11. BARNY BILL 11 $51.00 $4.60 $36.84
12. HEY FRANCO 12 $91.00 $5.75 $57.71
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 81% 100% 27*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 72% 32*
2.00–2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50–3.49 30% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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