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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:06 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:36 PM

Race 1

5:37 PM
1710m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st BLACKINDEED
2nd IM WESLEY
3rd SKIPPYS DELIGHT
4th MY BETTOR HALF ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — MY BETTOR HALF didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
MY BETTOR HALF P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. MY BETTOR HALF FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.65 $1.14 $2.54
2. BLACKINDEED 2 $4.20 $1.38 $5.55
1. IM WESLEY 1 $6.50 $1.65 $7.72
4. MORRIS BROWN 4 $13.00 $2.80 $13.63
12. CELESTIAL ZODIAC 12 $21.00 $3.80 $19.10
6. PISTOL PEARCE 6 $31.00 $4.80 $25.29
3. MISTER FONZI 3 $41.00 $5.25 $31.76
13. NAKULA 13 $51.00 $5.75 $43.23
7. HEATSEEKER 7 $61.00 $6.50 $48.29
5. ROSBERG 5 $71.00 $7.00 $51.33
11. WRITTEN IN SILK 11 $81.00 $7.50 $52.71
8. SKIPPYS DELIGHT 8 $81.00 $6.00 $58.85
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 35% 61% 23*
2.00–2.49 38% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 31% 44% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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