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PENRITH

R1 12:04 PM R2 12:29 PM R3 1:03 PM R4 1:42 PM R5 2:17 PM R6 2:54 PM R7 3:34 PM R8 4:14 PM

Race 3

1:03 PM
2125m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st AMERICAN BOXER
2nd STITCHED UP DAN ⭐ Best Bet
3rd ROCK ASSET
4th RAYS REDEMPTION
✅ Place bet landed — STITCHED UP DAN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
STITCHED UP DAN P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. STITCHED UP DAN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.16 $2.18
3. AMERICAN BOXER 3 $6.50 $2.25 $7.40
8. CAPITALISM 8 $8.00 $2.40 $7.92
2. ALLORNOTHINGLEVI 2 $8.00 $2.40 $8.54
1. ROCK ASSET 1 $11.00 $2.70 $10.02
7. SUNDAY MORNINGS 7 $41.00 $6.00 $30.88
6. RAYS REDEMPTION 6 $41.00 $6.00 $31.62
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 94% 47*
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 82% 65
2.00–2.49 44% 68% 75
2.50–3.49 32% 62% 99
3.50–4.99 11% 37% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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