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MELTON

R1 5:03 PM R2 5:28 PM R3 5:58 PM R4 6:35 PM R5 7:11 PM R6 7:49 PM R7 8:29 PM R8 9:00 PM R9 9:31 PM

Race 3

5:58 PM
1720m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st QUAKE PROOF
2nd JAKARTA
3rd SETTLE THE BILL
4th GOLDEN SKIES
❌ Unplaced — RUN FOREST RUN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
RUN FOREST RUN P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. RUN FOREST RUN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.09 $2.40
3. GOLDEN SKIES 3 $8.00 $1.85 $8.26
5. QUAKE PROOF 5 $8.00 $1.90 $8.47
10. SETTLE THE BILL 10 $9.50 $1.95 $10.34
6. JAKARTA 6 $12.00 $2.30 $11.77
7. IM EDDIE 7 $23.00 $3.50 $18.68
2. SNICKERS EXPRESS 2 $23.00 $3.20 $21.28
1. ALDEBARAN MARCUS 1 $31.00 $3.25 $24.42
8. MUSCLE VALLEY 8 $81.00 $5.75 $47.30
Favourite record at MELTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 87% 52*
1.50–1.99 this race 44% 80% 61
2.00–2.49 36% 66% 58*
2.50–3.49 24% 69% 70
3.50–4.99 22% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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