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GLOUCESTER PARK

R1 6:20 PM R2 6:50 PM R3 7:20 PM R4 7:50 PM R5 8:20 PM R6 8:50 PM R7 9:20 PM R8 9:45 PM R9 10:17 PM

Race 4

7:50 PM
2130m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Gloucester Park ›
🏁 Result
1st LOUIE LEBEAU
2nd TERROR IN TEXAS
3rd BURGHLEY SHARD
4th SEBASTIAN JAMES ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — SEBASTIAN JAMES didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
SEBASTIAN JAMES P $1.05
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
9
TERROR IN TEXAS W $9.50
Form view · saver 15.9% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (6 starts) · Recent form: 31s2
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. SEBASTIAN JAMES FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.38 $1.05 $2.05
9. TERROR IN TEXAS 9 $9.50 $1.95 $9.94
7. LOUIE LEBEAU 7 $9.50 $1.95 $10.25
2. BEAT THE BANK 2 $11.00 $1.90 $11.13
5. WICKED HUSTLER 5 $11.00 $2.05 $11.68
6. BURGHLEY SHARD 6 $15.00 $2.35 $14.35
4. MIDDLEPAGE 4 $18.00 $2.70 $17.47
1. ON THE BACK FOOT 1 $151.00 $4.75 $91.47
Favourite record at GLOUCESTER PARK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 91% 77
1.50–1.99 50% 80% 121
2.00–2.49 38% 67% 93
2.50–3.49 33% 62% 94
3.50–4.99 34% 61% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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