โ€น All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:22 PM R4 6:52 PM R5 7:22 PM R6 7:48 PM R7 8:19 PM R8 8:53 PM R9 9:19 PM

Race 1

5:22 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st CONSTANTINA โญ Best Bet
2nd SPIRIT KING
3rd MISTER QUIRK
4th BODYLINE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” CONSTANTINA finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
CONSTANTINA P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. CONSTANTINA FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.28 $1.02 $1.96
10. SPIRIT KING 10 $4.80 $1.30 $5.45
7. MISTER QUIRK 7 $13.00 $2.20 $12.80
6. NEXT TO ME 6 $18.00 $2.60 $16.46
3. ELOUISA DALE 3 $31.00 $3.70 $24.21
8. BODYLINE 8 $41.00 $4.20 $28.34
2. ROCKINDOWNUNDER 2 $41.00 $3.80 $32.17
9. GOODTIME BRAVO 9 $61.00 $5.00 $46.06
5. SAINT KARAMARA 5 $71.00 $5.50 $50.09
1. IDEAL MONDO 1 $91.00 $4.25 $58.90
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.28) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 91% 32*
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 78% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.