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PENRITH

R1 5:24 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:21 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 8

8:51 PM
2125m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st KAY JAY MIKI
2nd TONYS DREAM 📍 Place Pick
3rd HESHARLEY
4th NEED FOUR SPEED
✅ Place bet landed — TONYS DREAM ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
5
TONYS DREAM W $1.90·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
JANELLE MAY P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. TONYS DREAM FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.90 $1.18 $2.86
4. JANELLE MAY 4 $5.00 $1.50 $6.19
8. NEED FOUR SPEED 8 $6.50 $1.75 $7.48
9. HESHARLEY 9 $8.50 $2.20 $9.47
2. KAY JAY MIKI 2 $7.50 $1.85 $9.49
1. HIWAYTHREENINENINE 1 $18.00 $2.70 $18.04
7. MY FRIEND MOLLY 7 $23.00 $3.90 $22.80
6. GARRYS LARRY 6 $51.00 $5.50 $37.57
3. TARA JIM 3 $81.00 $6.00 $56.13
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 97% 30*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 82% 44*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 63
3.50–4.99 5% 41% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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