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PENRITH

R1 5:24 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:21 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 5

7:21 PM
1720m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LOCHINVAR JAG โญ Best Bet
2nd ONE FOR THE RODI
3rd OBADIAH DRAGON
4th FIRE FOX
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LOCHINVAR JAG finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
LOCHINVAR JAG P $1.09
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LOCHINVAR JAG FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.55 $1.09 $2.39
8. KING TIGER 8 $7.00 $1.55 $7.77
4. FIRE FOX 4 $6.50 $1.60 $8.04
7. OBADIAH DRAGON 7 $10.00 $2.15 $9.78
1. ONE FOR THE RODI 1 $10.00 $1.80 $11.04
3. THE METAL FLYER 3 $11.00 $2.20 $11.67
6. THE GREEK GENERAL 6 $34.00 $4.00 $27.86
5. HEAVENLY REASON 5 $126.00 $7.00 $70.41
Favourite record at PENRITH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 97% 30*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 45% 82% 44*
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 60% 63
3.50โ€“4.99 5% 41% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.