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NEWCASTLE

R1 10:50 AM R2 11:18 AM R3 11:52 AM R4 12:28 PM R5 1:03 PM R6 1:38 PM R7 2:13 PM R8 2:53 PM R9 3:33 PM

Race 1

10:50 AM
1609m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st RISEABOVETHEREST 📍 Place Pick
2nd NO GOOD REASON
3rd IFSBUTSANDBILYCANS 💡 Saver
4th ROCKVILLE
✅ Place bet — won outright — RISEABOVETHEREST finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — IFSBUTSANDBILYCANS ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
5
RISEABOVETHEREST W $2.05·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
IFSBUTSANDBILYCANS P $2.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. RISEABOVETHEREST FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.05 $1.28 $3.09
8. IFSBUTSANDBILYCANS 8 $6.50 $2.50 $7.45
6. NO GOOD REASON 6 $7.50 $3.00 $7.99
3. CHANGES 3 $7.50 $2.75 $8.06
7. HARMS LULLABY 7 $8.00 $3.10 $8.20
4. ROCKVILLE 4 $11.00 $3.70 $11.58
2. VON BRAUN 2 $11.00 $3.00 $11.84
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 91% 32*
1.50–1.99 48% 78% 69
2.00–2.49 this race 46% 75% 63
2.50–3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50–4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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