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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:27 PM R2 12:58 PM R3 1:36 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:47 PM R6 3:22 PM R7 4:03 PM R8 4:42 PM

Race 8

4:42 PM
1609m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st MISTER CHEESE โญ Best Bet
2nd ROCKIN BULL
3rd WAR WESTERN
4th KATLAS DREAM
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” MISTER CHEESE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
MISTER CHEESE P $1.18
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. MISTER CHEESE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.55 $1.18 $2.26
4. ROCKIN BULL 4 $4.00 $1.55 $4.78
6. WAR WESTERN 6 $7.50 $2.45 $7.82
1. KATLAS DREAM 1 $10.00 $2.65 $9.29
7. CHAPPY STREETNORTH 7 $21.00 $4.80 $17.91
3. IDEAL MONDO 3 $34.00 $5.50 $25.91
2. NEON TIGER 2 $81.00 $9.00 $52.73
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 91% 32*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 48% 78% 69
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 63
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 50% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.