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CANBERRA

R1 5:19 PM R2 5:50 PM R3 6:25 PM R4 7:00 PM R5 7:35 PM R6 8:10 PM

Race 2

5:50 PM
1770m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st OAK RIDGE
2nd ITZ BAD 📍 Place Pick
3rd BONJORGE
4th FLY OVER STATES
✅ Place bet landed — ITZ BAD ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
ITZ BAD P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ITZ BAD FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.65 $1.38 $3.69
2. BONJORGE 2 $2.90 $1.45 $3.76
6. OAK RIDGE 6 $2.90 $1.50 $3.76
8. MODERN SHEEN 8 $14.00 $4.50 $14.19
1. SPORTS LINER 1 $23.00 $4.40 $18.54
7. FLY OVER STATES 7 $26.00 $6.50 $21.71
3. ANGELIC ATTITUDE 3 $51.00 $11.00 $38.27
Favourite record at CANBERRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 30% 50% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 50% 70% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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