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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:20 PM R2 4:50 PM R3 5:22 PM R4 5:57 PM R5 6:32 PM R6 7:07 PM R7 7:42 PM R8 8:19 PM R9 8:47 PM

Race 3

5:22 PM
1680m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ARMA ROLLING STONE
2nd BARNY BILL 📍 Place Pick
3rd SHALLOW BEACH
4th NORBET
✅ Place bet landed — BARNY BILL ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
BARNY BILL P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BARNY BILL FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.30 $1.36 $4.88
10. SHALLOW BEACH 10 $4.00 $1.55 $5.05
6. HAY MIKI 6 $4.40 $1.65 $5.76
9. ARMA ROLLING STONE 9 $9.50 $2.50 $11.11
4. ART HUNTSMAN 4 $12.00 $3.20 $14.09
2. NORBET 2 $14.00 $3.20 $14.15
5. BUSLOAD OF FAITH 5 $13.00 $3.30 $15.08
8. MODERN JIVE 8 $19.00 $4.20 $19.90
11. GOBSMACKED 11 $26.00 $5.00 $21.95
12. KENYA 12 $91.00 $10.00 $67.00
1. IDEN OLIVER 1 $91.00 $6.25 $68.32
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 81% 100% 27*
1.50–1.99 47% 72% 32*
2.00–2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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