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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:40 PM R7 8:10 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 5

7:10 PM
2030m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st DANCE WITH CARMER
2nd BEACH BALL โญ Best Bet
3rd PETES SAID SO
4th LACEYS LAD
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” BEACH BALL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
BEACH BALL P $1.09
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. BEACH BALL FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.09 $2.31
10. PETES SAID SO 10 $4.40 $1.32 $5.89
1. WALTER WARLOCK 1 $9.50 $1.80 $9.84
7. SAINT CRUSADER 7 $15.00 $2.70 $13.47
2. DANCE WITH CARMER 2 $15.00 $2.50 $14.05
3. COOL NIGHT 3 $19.00 $3.20 $16.31
8. MASTER CATCH 8 $34.00 $4.40 $26.84
5. LOCHINVAR JAG 5 $71.00 $5.75 $48.10
9. LACEYS LAD 9 $81.00 $6.00 $56.69
6. FAZE OF GLORY 6 $126.00 $7.50 $79.72
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 33*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 47% 79% 70
2.00โ€“2.49 45% 73% 64
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 16% 48% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.