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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:40 PM R7 8:10 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 4

6:40 PM
2030m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st LIGHT ME UP
2nd HAY THERE JOE
3rd HUXTON ⭐ Best Bet
4th AMERICAN HAMMER
✅ Place bet landed — HUXTON ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
HUXTON P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. HUXTON FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.65 $1.10 $2.36
2. LIGHT ME UP 2 $5.00 $1.32 $6.34
6. AMERICAN HAMMER 6 $6.50 $1.65 $7.44
7. HAY THERE JOE 7 $10.00 $2.15 $10.44
9. LITTLE DEMON 9 $20.00 $2.75 $19.09
3. LULLABY 3 $26.00 $3.80 $19.72
4. ULTIMATE CRUZA 4 $41.00 $4.80 $31.12
5. PRINCESS MICKAYLA 5 $51.00 $5.25 $36.51
10. PALATINO 10 $126.00 $7.25 $74.93
8. FIFTEEN ACES 8 $126.00 $8.00 $78.57
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 33*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 79% 70
2.00–2.49 45% 73% 64
2.50–3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50–4.99 16% 48% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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