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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:40 PM R7 8:10 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 3

6:10 PM
2030m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st PROTAGONIST โญ Best Bet
2nd THE CID
3rd CHEDDAR VALLEY
4th IMXTRASPECIAL
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” PROTAGONIST finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
PROTAGONIST P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PROTAGONIST FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.34 $1.04 $2.02
3. AVENGER 3 $8.00 $1.70 $8.60
9. CHEDDAR VALLEY 9 $9.50 $2.00 $10.67
4. THE CID 4 $13.00 $2.25 $13.18
10. YESNOMAYBESO 10 $15.00 $2.25 $13.71
1. TWO TICKS 1 $23.00 $2.60 $19.38
7. MCCRIKEY 7 $31.00 $3.80 $24.77
6. IMXTRASPECIAL 6 $41.00 $4.20 $31.98
5. MISTER POVERTY 5 $61.00 $5.25 $43.25
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 70% 91% 33*
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 79% 70
2.00โ€“2.49 45% 73% 64
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 102
3.50โ€“4.99 16% 48% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.