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BALLARAT

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:06 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:39 PM R8 9:16 PM R9 9:46 PM

Race 1

5:34 PM
2200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st HITTHEROADJACK
2nd TORQUE POWER
3rd THE STEEL DRAGON ⭐ Best Bet
4th ISOLATION
✅ Place bet landed — THE STEEL DRAGON ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
THE STEEL DRAGON P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. THE STEEL DRAGON FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.65 $1.14 $2.53
2. JUST AS WELL 2 $7.50 $2.00 $9.41
4. ISOLATION 4 $8.50 $2.25 $10.03
9. TORQUE POWER 9 $11.00 $2.40 $11.45
3. EDWARDE GRANGE 3 $12.00 $2.80 $13.58
5. RUBY WINGATE 5 $15.00 $3.30 $14.87
7. HITTHEROADJACK 7 $19.00 $3.70 $17.41
11. BELLA LOUISE 11 $41.00 $5.50 $30.08
8. HEATSEEKER 8 $34.00 $5.00 $30.22
12. NAKULA 12 $71.00 $7.00 $59.26
1. UNCLE CHAN 1 $81.00 $4.75 $65.42
10. THE DEVILS FLAME 10 $101.00 $8.50 $69.64
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 35% 61% 23*
2.00–2.49 38% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 31% 44% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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