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MOUNT GAMBIER

R1 5:50 PM R2 6:24 PM R3 6:58 PM R4 7:32 PM R5 8:06 PM R6 8:40 PM R7 9:17 PM

Race 4

7:32 PM
2190m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st LADY SUSPICIOUS
2nd SONARMI JOH
3rd BROWN EYED KATE
4th ALDEBARAN ANTON
❌ Unplaced — HAPPY ESCAPE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
HAPPY ESCAPE P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
7
SONARMI JOH W $8.00
Form view · saver 14.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 62.5% (8 starts) · Recent form: 4234
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. HAPPY ESCAPE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.50 $1.14 $2.12
3. LADY SUSPICIOUS 3 $7.00 $2.25 $7.48
7. SONARMI JOH 7 $8.00 $2.45 $8.05
1. CAVE GIRL 1 $8.00 $2.40 $8.33
6. ALDEBARAN ANTON 6 $10.00 $2.90 $9.49
4. BROWN EYED KATE 4 $26.00 $4.80 $22.37
Favourite record at MOUNT GAMBIER ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 67% 90% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.