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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:43 PM R3 6:12 PM R4 6:43 PM R5 7:17 PM R6 7:55 PM R7 8:25 PM R8 8:54 PM R9 9:24 PM R10 9:50 PM

Race 4

6:43 PM
2200m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st PHOTO FIRST
2nd BEACH DANCER โญ Best Bet
3rd INDELIBLE
4th MR BONDI
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” BEACH DANCER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
BEACH DANCER P $1.12
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. BEACH DANCER FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.50 $1.12 $2.27
10. PHOTO FIRST 10 $9.00 $2.25 $9.55
2. REPETITIVE 2 $11.00 $2.30 $11.94
11. RAY DAN 11 $12.00 $2.70 $14.05
4. MR BONDI 4 $16.00 $3.20 $18.46
1. DAT LOU 1 $19.00 $2.80 $20.03
3. COLBY SANZ 3 $23.00 $3.80 $20.31
9. INDELIBLE 9 $26.00 $3.80 $25.22
7. AMBIGUOUS 7 $31.00 $4.40 $26.83
8. WE SALUTE YOU 8 $26.00 $4.20 $27.93
5. MAJOR LESTER 5 $34.00 $4.60 $29.42
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 81% 100% 27*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 47% 72% 32*
2.00โ€“2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 63% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.