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BALLARAT

R1 4:59 PM R2 5:33 PM R3 6:06 PM R4 6:36 PM R5 7:06 PM R6 7:47 PM R7 8:06 PM

Race 7

8:06 PM
1710m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st HEAVENS WISH
2nd METRO SWISH
3rd DUNS BOY
4th BILLYSOPHIA
❌ Unplaced — MAJESTIC YANKEE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
MAJESTIC YANKEE P $1.22
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MAJESTIC YANKEE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.65 $1.22 $2.36
2. HEAVENS WISH 2 $6.50 $2.15 $7.04
5. METRO SWISH 5 $7.00 $2.45 $7.72
6. NOSTRA NIPOTINA 6 $9.50 $3.20 $9.58
8. KICKABARREL 8 $8.50 $3.00 $10.33
1. DUNS BOY 1 $21.00 $3.90 $16.92
4. BILLYSOPHIA 4 $31.00 $5.50 $22.45
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 30% 65% 40*
2.00–2.49 31% 74% 39*
2.50–3.49 33% 52% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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